Nation Runner

アメリカ合衆国の国旗国別デスク · 更新 10月25日

アメリカ合衆国

アメリカ合衆国は、政党の議会過半数が薄い状況で運営されている：ドナルド・トランプがホワイトハウスに、53人の共和党上院議員が上院に、218-214の議席（2議席が空席）を持つ共和党が下院を占めており（2026年9月2日現在）、連邦準備制度は独立した建物である - ケビン・ウォーシュが2026年5月に議長に就任。民主党は少数派の議席（ジェフリー、シューマー）を持ち、カリフォルニアのような独自の文化を持つ州もある。 中間選挙は11月3日。 これが政治風景の全貌である。

主なポイント

  1. 1

    世論調査. 民主党候補者が最新のEconomist/YouGov世論調査で53％、15ポイント差で共和党候補者をリード。 9月15日以来の最大の動き：民主党候補者 +2

  2. 2

    主要ニュース. トーンは暗くなっている: 過去 14 日間のニュースのうち 11% は厳しい、10% は前向き。 注目の話題: 政治 (55%)。

  3. 3

    政府. 政府の評価 58/100 (建設型)。 記録された25件の施策のうち、9件が賢明、5件が有害と評価されています。

  4. 4

    次の投票. 2026年11月3日に米中間選挙、残り8日。

ヘッドラインのムード · 14 日

ライン: ムード · バー: ストーリー

10月25日 · 8 ストーリー · 中立1 前向き · 6 neutral · 1 厳しい

ヘッドラインが報じる内容

  • 政治 55%
  • 経済 20%
  • その他 14%
  • 安全保障 4%
  • 社会 4%
  • 気候 2%

デイリー・ワイヤーのヘッドラインからの簡単な単語リスト推定。判断を下すものではない。

世論調査の傾向 · Economist/YouGov

  • Democratic candidate53%+1
  • Republican candidate38%

9月22日の調査との変化

地図 · ムード比較

アメリカ合衆国

全体的なムード: 11% 厳しい, 10% 前向き · 今日 +0

今日の変化

10月25日

  • 10月25日: 8記事 (平均8)。トーンは通常通り。
  • 最新のEconomist/YouGov調査 (9月29日): Democratic candidate +1対9月22日

最新ニュース

3件の新しいニュース
今週のニュース: 10件

見出しと要約はリンク先から; 自動で選定しています 翻訳は自動 (Workers AI) で行われており、誤りがある可能性があります。リンク先の原文が正確です。

詳細を見る

政党、人物、公約、資金

Live snapshot · 14 Sep 2026

Who runs the United States, and what they actually do.

The United States is run by a Republican trifecta that is thinner than the speeches: Donald Trump in the White House, 53 Republican senators, and a House of 218–214 with two vacancies as of 2 Sep 2026. The Federal Reserve is a separate building — Kevin Warsh took the chair in May 2026. Democrats hold the minority podiums (Jeffries, Schumer) and the states that still look like countries (California). Midterms are 3 November. That is the whole landscape.

議場

119th House of Representatives

435 House seats · 218 to control · 2 vacant not drawn

取引

Republican trifecta

White House + Senate 53 + House 218–214 (2 vacancies on the Clerk’s 2 Sep list). Majority in the House is 218. The gavel is arithmetic. The Fed is not in the room.

ムード

現在の選挙 vs 現在

Nov 2024 certified popular vote · Economist/YouGov likely-voter House ballot, Aug–Sep 2026

  • Dem
    52.0%
  • GOP
    38.0%
  • Ind
    0.0%
  • L
    0.0%
  • Green
    0.0%

Solid = Economist/YouGov likely voters, 18–21 Sep 2026 (Democrats 52, Republicans 38). Ghost = 2024 popular vote. Third parties are not in that question. Not a forecast.

国

Sixteen engines, not fifty stickers

2024 presidential winner on each tile. These are the economic and electoral files that move the country — Texas power, California housing, Arizona fabs, the Midwest hinges. Tap a tile.

Tile map of 16 key states · fill = 2024 presidential winner · tap a state

WA

Washington

西部

このタイルの最初の情報： Dem · グラフをタップして政党を開く

Boeing, Microsoft, hydro. Blue coast, red interior. Data centers want the Columbia.

傾向

選挙当夜から現在まで

世論調査の総合 - 予測ではない

分裂

Coasts vs interior (this tile set)

A cartogram split, not a census. Coasts lean Democratic; the hinges and Texas lean Republican.

不一致

議席数と世論調査の比較

The House is frozen until 3 Nov 2026. Beige is the share of 435 seats. Blue is the Economist/YouGov likely-voter ballot for 18–21 September 2026, not a forecast.

顔たち

ドシエを開く

President, purse, energy, opposition, California. Full career, what they stand for, who has their ear. Portraits are official/public-domain where we have them.

顔をタップしてプロフィール全文を表示

失礼なゲージ

経済成長の王か、労働との闘争か

誰が経済成長を促進するか、誰が労働と対立するか。内閣はここに座る 58 / 100. This gauge is an editorial reading, not a court and not a prize. Each person is scored on six axes from public acts this term: energy, hiring, capital, building, hours in work, and red tape. The number is the average of those axes, times ten. If every axis were still the untouched midpoint, the label would say not scored. Open a row for the axis breakdown, so one word is not the whole record.

雇用に逆行Builder成長の牽引役

約束の連鎖はすべて生きたまま

舞台裏

誰が耳元で話しているのか

2024 federal lobbying: $4.45bn. Super PACs: $2.69bn in independent expenditures. Dark-money estimate: $1.9bn (Brennan). PhRMA $31.7m LDA; oil & gas $154.5m as a class. Scales for access — not a bribery charge. Fact vs inference labelled.

ファイナンス · 誰が最初に拾うのか

今週

脈

House

House still a three-seat majority with two vacancies

Clerk of the House list: 218 R, 214 D, 1 independent, vacancies in FL-20 and TX-23. Speaker Johnson’s gavel is arithmetic, not a mandate. Specials pending; this desk will not invent their winners.

Senate

Senate 53–45–2, midterms in fifty days

Official Senate calendar for 14 Sep 2026: 53 Republicans, 45 Democrats, 2 independents. Class 2 is on the 2026 ballot. Majority leader Thune; minority Schumer. Confirmations are the easy part.

Fed

Kevin Warsh takes the Fed chair

Powell’s four-year chair term ended. Warsh, a former governor, succeeded 22 May 2026. Powell stays a governor until 2028 unless he resigns. In June the Supreme Court blocked an attempt to fire governor Lisa Cook — independence as a holding, not a slogan.

Justice

Todd Blanche sworn in as attorney general

Senate 50–49 on 8 Aug, sworn 10 Aug. Bondi had been fired 2 Apr 2026. Trump’s former defense lawyer now runs Main Justice, FBI included. The file is immigration volume and a shorter leash.

DHS

Mullin at DHS after Noem’s firing

Kristi Noem was fired 5 Mar 2026. Senator Markwayne Mullin of Oklahoma was confirmed to Homeland Security and seated 24 Mar. Border and interior enforcement change faces, not the statute.

Campaign

Fifty days to a new House

Election day is 3 Nov 2026. Generic-ballot prints bounce; this desk will not freeze a fake composite. Historically the president’s party loses House seats. Historically is not 2018, 2022, or a law of physics.

政治101

この国が実際にどのように機能するか

What Congress actually is

Two chambers, two majorities, one statute book. The House is population. The Senate is states. Both have to say yes.

The 119th Congress (2025–27) is still sitting as of 14 Sep 2026 — midterms are 3 Nov 2026. House: 435 seats, 218 to control. Clerk’s list 2 Sep 2026: 218 R, 214 D, 1 independent, 2 vacancies (FL-20, TX-23). Senate: 100 seats, 53 R, 45 D, 2 independents who caucus with Democrats. A bill needs both, then a presidential signature — or 2/3 to override. This is not a parliament that elects a chancellor.

The presidency is the government

America runs an elected executive, not a coalition contract. Agencies live or die on the Oval’s calendar.

Trump is head of state and head of government. Cabinet secretaries serve at pleasure after Senate confirmation. Executive orders, IEEPA, and OMB can move faster than the House’s 218. That is why a trifecta still governs by memo: the House majority is too thin for a weekly omnibus. The vice president breaks Senate ties and waits.

The Federal Reserve

A statutory independent central bank. The president picks the chair. He does not pick the 2% target by tweet — in theory.

The Board of Governors has staggered 14-year terms. The chair’s term is four years; Powell’s chair term ended May 2026 and Kevin Warsh succeeded on 22 May 2026. Powell remains a governor until January 2028 unless he leaves. In June 2026 the Supreme Court blocked an attempt to fire governor Lisa Cook. Dual mandate: jobs and prices. The 10-year Treasury is the adult scoreboard.

The alphabet that actually regulates

EPA, FDA, FTC, FCC, SEC, CFPB, FERC, NRC, OSHA, BIS. Congress writes verbs. These desks write the country.

After Loper Bright (2024) killed Chevron deference, courts read statutes more tightly and agencies cannot lean on ‘we know best’ as easily. Trump’s EPA (Zeldin) and OMB (Vought) are the deregulatory pair. BIS inside Commerce is the China-tech chokepoint. CFPB is the Warren-built consumer cop the GOP would like smaller. FERC and NRC decide whether power plants connect. If you care about growth, you care about these more than the Senate lunch.

States are half the country

Housing, power siting, criminal law, abortion after Dobbs, elections administration. Washington is not Berlin.

There is no equivalent of the Bundesrat as a second elected chamber of states — the Senate is malapportioned states. Governors (Newsom, and whoever wins TX/FL/NY) run labour markets the White House only lectures. PUCs site gas plants. School boards do culture. A national industrial policy that ignores Texas ERCOT and California CEQA is a press release.

Why there are two parties

First-past-the-post, presidentialism, ballot-access law. Libertarians and Greens exist. They do not govern.

Duverger is not a vibe. The Electoral College and single-member House districts punish third parties. Independents in the Senate caucus with Democrats for committee cards. Fusion and ranked-choice experiments are local. On this desk the compass still has a Libertarian and a Green so you can see the edge — not because they have a whip.

Sixty votes, or fake it

Most Senate legislation needs 60 to end debate. Budget reconciliation does not. That is the whole game.

Thune has 53 Republicans. That confirms a cabinet. It does not pass a partisan climate bill. Reconciliation is the once-or-twice-a-year cheat code (tax, spending, deficits) with Byrd Rule limits. Nominations are now simple majority after the nuclear precedents. If someone promises a statute with 53 votes, ask whether they mean reconciliation or a fantasy.

The Electoral College, not the popular vote

You can lose more voters and still win. 2024: Trump took the map and a popular-vote plurality.

538 electors. 270 to win. States are winner-take-all except ME and NE. 2024 certified: Trump 312, Harris 226, popular vote roughly 49.8%–48.3%. The House is a different map (districts, 2020 census for the 2020s). Midterms in 2026 will not pick a president. They can take the gavel.

3 November 2026

The whole House, a third of the Senate. Historically the president’s party bleeds. Historically is not a promise.

All 435 House seats. Senate Class 2 (34 seats) — more Republican-held seats are up than Democratic ones in this class, which is why GOP strategists sleep worse than the 53-seat headline. This snapshot is 14 Sep 2026: early voting machines, not a result. The desk will not invent a generic-ballot average from a single unnamed poll.

How the money actually works

Citizens United, Super PACs, party committees, 501(c)(4) fog. 2024: $4.45bn federal lobbying, $2.69bn Super PAC independent expenditures, $1.9bn dark-money estimate. Disclosure is partial. Bribery is a different crime.

Federal candidate committees report to the FEC. Hard-dollar caps are indexed (2023–24: $3,300 per individual per election to a candidate). Super PACs — after Citizens United (2010) and SpeechNow (2010) — can raise unlimited sums from corporations, unions, and people, spend unlimited independent expenditures, and must not give to or legally coordinate with the candidate. OpenSecrets Super PAC table for 2023–24: $5.10bn raised, $2.69bn in independent expenditures. MAGA Inc $377m IE; Future Forward USA $510m IE on the outside-spending rollup; America PAC $172m IE. 501(c)(4) social-welfare groups need not name their donors; OpenSecrets shows only ~$50m of direct 501(c) outside spend reported to the FEC — Brennan Center estimates $1.9bn of dark money in 2024 federal races, including $1.3bn from non-disclosing groups and shells into Super PACs. That estimate is theirs, not a desk audit. ActBlue and WinRed are processors. LDA lobbying is the year-round pipe: $4.45bn federal in 2024 (OpenSecrets / Senate LDA) — pharma/health products $392m as an industry, FIRE $645m as a sector, communications/electronics $599m, energy/natural resources $441m, defense $159m. PhRMA $31.7m, Chamber $76.4m, Realtors $86.4m, Meta $24.4m. This desk’s money tab is access and disclosed pipes — not a RICO memo. Fact vs inference is labelled. Unknowns stay unknown.

選挙

予定されているもの

これらのデスクでの国家選挙と主要な投票予定を、約24か月分掲載しています。日付は選挙当局によるものです。名前付きの世論調査機関が過去60日以内に公開した世論調査のみ表示しています。

米中間選挙

日程を設定

3 Nov 2026

8 日

The Federal Election Commission lists Tuesday 3 November 2026 as the next regularly scheduled federal general election.

出典: Federal Election Commission

投票意向

Economist/YouGov

調査期間 18 Sept 2026 – 21 Sept 2026 · 公開 22 Sept 2026

Likely voters, generic U.S. House candidate in the respondent's district. Fieldwork 18–21 September 2026, published 22 September 2026.

  • 民主党候補者52%
  • 共和党候補者38%

Economist/YouGov

外国人はどう見られているか

アメリカ合衆国の開放性

公表された調査のみ。各数値に出典と年を示します。

誰が歓迎されているか

Pewが尋ねた各国について好意的な意見を持つアメリカ合衆国の成人の割合。

開放性の指標

3つの別々の指標で、それぞれ年が異なります。混ぜ合わせません。

駐在者・移住者の声

InterNations Expat Insider 2025:46の渡航先中の順位、1位が最高。

  • 定住のしやすさ46中25位
  • 文化と歓迎46中26位
  • 地元の人の親しみやすさ46中24位
  • 友人づくり46中29位

InterNations, Expat Insider 2025

ひとことで

  • 駐在者・移住者はアメリカ合衆国の定住のしやすさを46中25位と評価しました(2025)。最も良い項目は地元の人の親しみやすさで24位でした。
  • Pewがここで尋ねた8か国のうち、日本への好意的な意見が最も多くなりました(77%、2025)。
出典と方法

Pewは成人に国についての意見を尋ねています。それは国への見方であり、その国の人々や訪問者個人への見方ではありません。質問されていない組み合わせは推定しません。

InterNationsの順位はその国に住む駐在者・移住者(46の渡航先)の評価です。Gallupの移民受容指数は0から9まで。MIPEXは統合に関する法と政策を0から100で評価します。

あなたにとっての意味

あなたにとっての意味

出典と日付のあるデータのみ掲載しています。出典の詳細はページ下部の「データの出典について」をご覧ください。掲載のないものはデータとして保管されていません。

  • Work

    The federal minimum wage for covered nonexempt employees is 7.25 dollars an hour, effective 24 July 2009. Where a state rate is higher, the higher rate applies.

  • Taxes

    For tax year 2026 the standard deduction is 16,100 dollars for a single filer, 32,200 dollars for a married couple filing jointly, and 24,150 dollars for a head of household.

  • Work permit

    The H-1B cap is 65,000 new statuses or visas each fiscal year, plus 20,000 petitions for people with a U.S. master’s degree or higher. USCIS said on 17 July 2026 that both limits for fiscal year 2027 had been reached.

  • Benefits

    The Social Security Administration estimates the average monthly retirement benefit for a retired worker at 2,071 dollars in January 2026, after a 2.8 percent cost-of-living adjustment. That is the estimated check for a typical retired worker, not a promise that every person receives that amount.

  • Housing

    In most of the United States, the 2026 baseline conforming loan limit for a one-unit home is 832,750 dollars. A mortgage above that limit is not a loan Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will buy at the ordinary cap. High-cost counties can go higher.

出典、ライセンス、画像クレジット

データ

  • ワイヤー（パブリックRSSフィード）：X, New York Times Politics, Fox News Politics, PBS NewsHour Politics.
  • 世論調査：Economist/YouGov 出典.
  • Nov 2024 certified popular vote · Economist/YouGov likely-voter House ballot, Aug–Sep 2026
  • 編集部による経済的適性評価、裁判所やノーベル賞ではない。6つの軸：エネルギー、雇用、資本、建設、労働時間、規制。スコアは、現職と前職の公的記録に基づく判断であり、贈賄罪の有罪判決や投票推薦ではない。

調査出典

  • United States — Gallup Migrant Acceptance Index 2019: Gallup. Neli Esipova, Julie Ray and Dato Tsabutashvili, “Canada No. 1 for Migrants, U.S. in Sixth Place”, 23 September 2020. Gallup World Poll, 2019. United States 7.95 out of 9. 出典. Gallup allows a contextual citation when the publication date and a link are given. The table and graphics are not reproduced.
  • United States — MIPEX overall score 2020: MIPEX. Solano, Giacomo & Huddleston, Thomas (2020). Migrant Integration Policy Index 2020. Barcelona/Brussels: CIDOB and MPG. ISBN 978-84-92511-83-9. Overall score list: USA 73. 出典 · PDF. © 2020 MPG and CIDOB. The book asks for this academic citation. The overall score is cited; the book is not reproduced. Public or commercial reuse beyond citation is not claimed.

Image credits

  • Republican Party (GOP) wordmark — Wikimedia Commons · File:GOP logo.svg · party wordmark, used for identification · Wikimedia Commons · File:GOP logo.svg · party wordmark, used for identification Source
  • Democratic Party donkey mark — Wikimedia Commons · File: Democratic Disc.svg · historic donkey/disc mark, used for identification · Wikimedia Commons · File: Democratic Disc.svg · historic donkey/disc mark, used for identification Source
  • Geometric mark for the Libertarian Party. Not an official logo. — Original geometric mark. Not an official party logo. Public domain. · Public domain Source
  • Green Party of the United States sunflower — Wikimedia Commons · File: Green Party of the United States social media logo.svg · GPUS mark, used for identification · Wikimedia Commons · File: Green Party of the United States social media logo.svg · GPUS mark, used for identification Source
  • Official 2025 presidential portrait of Donald Trump — Official U.S. government portrait. Public domain (17 U.S.C. § 105) via Wikimedia Commons. File: Official Presidential Portrait of President Donald J. Trump (2025). · Public domain Source
  • Official 2025 vice-presidential portrait of JD Vance — Official U.S. government portrait. Public domain (17 U.S.C. § 105) via Wikimedia Commons. File: VancePortrait.jpg. · Public domain Source
  • Official portrait of Secretary of State Marco Rubio — U.S. Department of State · Public domain Source
  • Official portrait of Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent — United States Department of the Treasury · Public domain Source
  • Official portrait of Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth — U.S. Department of Defense · Public domain Source
  • Official portrait of Attorney General Todd Blanche — Ryan M. Biller, U.S. Department of Justice · Public domain Source
  • Official portrait of Energy Secretary Chris Wright — Official U.S. government portrait. Public domain (17 U.S.C. § 105) via Wikimedia Commons. Department of Energy / Wikimedia. File: Secretary Chris Wright Official Portrait.png. · Public domain Source
  • Official portrait of Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick — Daniel Torok · Public domain Source
  • Official portrait of HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. — United States Department of Health and Human Services · Public domain Source
  • Official portrait of Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin — U.S. Department of Homeland Security · Public domain Source
  • Official portrait of EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin — Unknown author · Public domain Source
  • Official portrait of OMB Director Russell Vought — Office of Management and Budget · Public domain Source
  • Portrait of White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles — The White House · Public domain Source
  • Official portrait of Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy — U.S. Department of Transportation · Public domain Source
  • Official portrait of Interior Secretary Doug Burgum — U.S. Department of the Interior · Public domain Source
  • Official portrait of Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins — U.S. Department of Agriculture · Public domain Source
  • Official portrait of USTR Jamieson Greer — Office of the United States Trade Representative · Public domain Source
  • Portrait of Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh — Federalreserve · Federal Reserve / Wikimedia. Government work or official portrait; see file page. Source
  • Official portrait of Speaker Mike Johnson — United States Congress · Public domain Source
  • Official portrait of Senator John Thune — United States Senate · Public domain Source
  • Official portrait of Senator Chuck Schumer — U.S. Senate official portrait. Public domain work of the U.S. government via Wikimedia Commons. · Public domain Source
  • Official portrait of Hakeem Jeffries — U.S. House / Congressional official portrait. Public domain work of the U.S. government via Wikimedia Commons. · Public domain Source
  • Official vice-presidential portrait of Kamala Harris — Official U.S. government portrait. Public domain (17 U.S.C. § 105) via Wikimedia Commons. File: Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait.jpg. · Public domain Source
  • Official portrait of Governor Gavin Newsom — State of California official portrait via Wikimedia. See file page for license. · State of California official portrait via Wikimedia. See file page for license. Source
  • Official portrait of Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez — U.S. House / Congressional official portrait. Public domain work of the U.S. government via Wikimedia Commons. · Public domain Source
  • Official portrait of Senator Bernie Sanders — U.S. Senate official portrait. Public domain work of the U.S. government via Wikimedia Commons. · Public domain Source
  • Official portrait of Senator Elizabeth Warren — U.S. Senate official portrait. Public domain work of the U.S. government via Wikimedia Commons. · Public domain Source
  • Official portrait of Jerome Powell — Federal Reserve official portrait. Public domain U.S. government work via Wikimedia Commons. · Public domain Source
机が実際に答える質問

よくある質問

机が実際に答える質問

Is the United States desk live on Nation Runner?
Yes. The US briefing and desk are staffed through 14 September 2026: 119th Congress, White House, Fed, people, parties, and PAC / Super PAC / LDA money pipes. It is an editorial dashboard, not an official record.
What does the staffed US desk cover?
The same questions as Germany: who runs it, what they actually do, who has their ear, and which fights are rabbit holes. Landscape, parties, promises, people, pulse, match, money, and the growth-king barometer sit as in-page sections.
What can I read on Nation Runner today?
The globe and nineteen staffed desks: Germany (through 21 September 2026), the United States (through 14 September 2026), the United Kingdom, South Korea, France, Japan, Canada, Australia, the Netherlands, Spain, Italy, Switzerland, Ireland, Cyprus, Portugal, Malta, Mexico, Estonia, and Greece, plus dated case files — including THE CLIPBOARD, the pause-funder money map, and how the Money tab scores access. About / method explains who builds the desk and how often it updates.
How does Nation Runner treat country pages that are not staffed?
They are not published. A country code without a staffed desk returns 404. The map still shows the country, and it does not open a coming-soon page.
情報源について

スナップショットは、第119回議会と、2026年9月21日までの公開報告に基づく。衆議院の計算: 衆議院事務長、2026年9月2日。参議院の計算: 参議院カレンダー、2026年9月14日。内閣: ホワイトハウス / 公開確認記録。連邦準備議長: 2026年5月22日からウォーシュ。現在の投票率の数字は、エコノミスト/ユーガブの有権者衆議院投票、予測ではない。資金タブ: FEC / LDA / OpenSecrets 2024合計、ブレン南の闇資金推定、ボールトピディアの三分法 ― 汚職判決ではない。キングタブは、ノーベル賞ではない因果連鎖のある編集成長対労働戦争ゲージ。投票推奨ではない。

あなたにとっての意味

クッキー 言語とテーマはこのブラウザに保存されます。分析（DataFast）は承諾した場合のみ収集され、かつ本デプロイにウェブサイトIDがある場合のみです。 プライバシー.